Implications of switching away from injectable hormonal contraceptives on the HIV epidemic

Kezban Yagci Sokat and Benjamin Armbruster

Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 2015, vol. 52, issue C, 1-9

Abstract: A recent study showed that progestogen-only injectable hormonal contraception (POIHC) doubles the risk of HIV transmission. This may affect contraceptive use and HIV-related outcomes, if women switch away from POIHC. A deterministic compartmental model of individuals aged 15–49 distinguishing gender and HIV status was used to simulate various contraceptive use scenarios. We specifically tracked HIV prevalence, new infections, HIV-related deaths, vertical transmission, and births over a 15-year period for five African countries. Stopping POIHC use will result in a large increase in births and vertical transmission. Switching from POIHC to other contraceptives limits these increases while still improving HIV outcomes.

Keywords: HIV; Contraception; Mathematical modeling; Sub-Saharan Africa; Population level impact (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:soceps:v:52:y:2015:i:c:p:1-9

DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2015.08.001

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