A statistical analysis of COVID-19 mortality dynamics: Unraveling the interplay between vaccination trends, socioeconomic factors, and government interventions in Brazilian states

Jéssica Villar, Lucas Maddalena, Thaís de Abreu Camargo, Paula Medina Maçaira, Fernanda Baião and Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira

Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 2024, vol. 92, issue C

Abstract: The main challenges in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil included socioeconomic inequality among different states and the lack of consensus on the measures implemented to contain and prevent the pandemic. This study analyzes the dynamics of COVID-19-related deaths in Brazilian states associated with the evolution of vaccination trends, socioeconomic factors, and government interventions through population mobility. By applying time series clustering techniques and regression modeling, the insights obtained show the commonalities and differences among the 27 Brazilian states and how the different vaccination temporal patterns, socioeconomic factors, and mobility rates correlated to the evolution of COVID-19 deaths.

Keywords: COVID-19; Time series clustering; DTW; Regression modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:soceps:v:92:y:2024:i:c:s0038012124000545

DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101855

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