From causal loop diagrams to future scenarios: Using the cross-impact balance method to augment understanding of urban health in Latin America

Ivana Stankov, Andres Felipe Useche, Jose D. Meisel, Felipe Montes, Lidia MO. Morais, Amelia AL. Friche, Brent A. Langellier, Peter Hovmand, Olga Lucia Sarmiento, Ross A. Hammond and Ana V. Diez Roux

Social Science & Medicine, 2021, vol. 282, issue C

Abstract: Urban health is shaped by a system of factors spanning multiple levels and scales, and through a complex set of interactions. Building on causal loop diagrams developed via several group model building workshops, we apply the cross-impact balance (CIB) method to understand the strength and nature of the relationships between factors in the food and transportation system, and to identify possible future urban health scenarios (i.e., permutations of factor states that impact health in cities).

Keywords: Urban health; Complex system; Cross-impact balance; Chronic disease; Diet; Transportation; Latin America (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.114157

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