Sectoral effects of development aid on post-war violence: spatially disaggregated evidence from the Great Lakes region

Lucas Kori Leonhard

World Development, 2025, vol. 195, issue C

Abstract: In the 1990s and early 2000s, Africa’s Great Lakes region experienced some of the most devastating conflicts in recent history. Following a fragile peace negotiated in the mid-2000s, international donors allocated over $38 billion in development aid to support stabilization across the region. This study evaluates the effectiveness of these efforts through a spatially and sectorally disaggregated analysis of over 100 districts and provinces in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, and Burundi. To ensure robust inference, I employ a combination of negative binomial regression with coarsened exact matching on subnational administrative units and difference-in-differences estimations on locally defined buffer zones.

Keywords: Foreign aid; Conflict; Spatial disaggregation; Democratic Republic of the Congo; Burundi; Uganda (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F35 O12 O19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:195:y:2025:i:c:s0305750x2500230x

DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107144

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