Trend analysis in two standard growth models
Sergio I. Restrepo Ochoa and
Jesús Vázquez Pérez
No 1988-088X, DFAEII Working Papers from University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II
Abstract:
This paper analyzes the trend processes characterized by two standard growth models using simple econometrics. The first model is the basic neoclassical growth model that postulates a deterministic trend for output. The second model is the Uzawa-Lucas model that postulates a stochastic trend for output. The aim is to understand how the different trend processes for output assumed by these two standard growth models determine the ability of each model to explain the observed trend processes of other macroeconomic variables such as consumption and investment. The results show that the two models reproduce the output trend process. Moreover, the results show that the basic growth model captures properly the consumption trend process, but fails in characterizing the investment trend process. The reverse is true for the Uzawa-Lucas model.
Keywords: basic neoclassical growth model; Uzawa-Lucas model; trend process; cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002-07
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Dpto. de Fundamentos del Análisis Económico II, = Facultad de CC. Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad del País Vasco, Avda. Lehendakari Aguirre 83, 48015 Bilbao, Spain
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