The closer we get the better we are?

Ben Zion Zilberfarb and Nathan Goldstein

No 10355, EcoMod2017 from EcoMod

Abstract: As a simple implication of rational expectations, repeated predictions of a fixed event should improve over time, as more information is available. Our research examines whether this implication is state dependent. Use of descriptive statistics, tested by Friedman’s and Kruskal-Wallis rank-based tests and further tested by bootstrap method. To find out whether forecasts improvement are state dependent.

Keywords: Israel; Agent-based modeling; Forecasting; nowcasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D83 E27 E37 E47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-07-04
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://ecomod.net/system/files/Zilberfarb_accuracy%20paper%20CONF.pdf
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 403 Forbidden (http://ecomod.net/system/files/Zilberfarb_accuracy%20paper%20CONF.pdf [301 Moved Permanently]--> https://ecomod.net/system/files/Zilberfarb_accuracy%20paper%20CONF.pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ekd:010027:10355

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in EcoMod2017 from EcoMod Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Theresa Leary ().