The overblown role of population density in the COVID-19 pandemic in New York City

Yu Zhong and Bertrand Teirlinck

Chapter 4 in Regional Economic Systems after COVID-19, 2023, pp 67-92 from Edward Elgar Publishing

Abstract: Our analysis using New York City data finds that population density does not appear to play a critical role in the spread of COVID-19, contrary to the widely shared belief. In fact, borough-level and neighborhood-level correlation analyses suggest that higher population density is associated with lower case incidence. Our analysis further reveals that, rather than overall population density, a variety of other factors including international and domestic connections, timing, crowding, and socioeconomic factors such as income, education, commuting patterns, and types of work can better explain an area’s case incidence. With evidence from data analysis and literature review, we argue that density has been more beneficial than harmful to New York City during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Keywords: Economics and Finance; Geography; Urban and Regional Studies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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