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Effects of terrorism on trade

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Javed Younas

Chapter 9 in Elgar Encyclopedia of International Trade, 2026, pp 39-41 from Edward Elgar Publishing

Abstract: We discuss the effect of terrorism on international trade. First, using a Heckscher–Ohlin type of framework, we show that terrorism reduces trade if it disproportionately hurts the factor that is intensively used in the nation's exporting sector. If, however, terrorism's primary burden is on the other factor, then terrorism will raise trade. Second, we consider the trade effects of transnational terrorism and of domestic terrorism in the context of monopolistic competition. Transnational terrorism reduces trade through amplification of shipping costs. Domestic terrorism, however, may or may not reduce trade. If domestic terrorism disproportionately amplifies domestic production costs relative to transportation costs, then the relative price of domestic varieties will rise, spurring import demand and hence trade. Finally, we discuss selected empirical studies on the effects of terrorism on trade. Consistent with the theories discussed, the empirical findings generally find negative effects of terrorism on trade but also present some ambiguities.

Keywords: International trade; Transnational terrorism; Domestic terrorism; Factor intensities; Monopolistic competition; Gravity Model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
ISBN: 9781035327492
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