Heuristic biases influencing individual stock investment decisions: a hybrid fuzzy DELPHI-AHP-DEMATEL approach

R. Abhijith and D. Bijulal

Journal of Advances in Management Research, 2024, vol. 21, issue 4, 627-648

Abstract: Purpose - Stock investing choices of individual investors are predominantly influenced by heuristic biases, leading to sub-optimal choices. Accordingly, this study aims to identify, categorize, validate, prioritize, and find causality among the heuristic biases shaping stock investment decisions of individual investors. Design/methodology/approach - This research offers original contribution by employing a hybrid approach combining fuzzy DELPHI method (FDM), fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (FAHP), and fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (F-DEMATEL) techniques to validate, prioritize, and find causality among the heuristic biases. Findings - Twenty sub-heuristic biases were identified under five main heuristic bias categories. Out of which, 17 were validated using FDM. Further, availability and representativeness within main heuristic categories, and availability cascade and retrievability within sub-heuristic biases were prioritized using FAHP. Overconfidence and availability were identified as the causes among the five main biases by F-DEMATEL. Practical implications - This study offers the stock investors a deeper understanding of heuristic biases and empowers them to make rational investment decisions. Originality/value - This paper is the inaugural effort to identify, categorize, validate, prioritize and examine the cause-and-effect relationship among the heuristic biases.

Keywords: Heuristic biases; Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (FAHP); Fuzzy DELPHI method (FDM); Fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (F-DEMATEL) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jamrpp:jamr-03-2024-0093

DOI: 10.1108/JAMR-03-2024-0093

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