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Stock market’ reaction of global e-commerce listed firms: an event study for different phases of COVID-19 pandemic

Susana Cró, Pedro Correia, Ricardo Gouveia and António Miguel Martins

Journal of Economic Studies, 2025, vol. 53, issue 7, 1326-1339

Abstract: PurposeThis article examines the short-term market reaction of global e-commerce firms around different phases of COVID-19.Design/methodology/approachThe authors examine the impact of different phases of COVID-19 on global e-commerce firms using an event study methodology.FindingsWe find a positive and statistically significant reaction of e-commerce firms to the first case of COVID-19, to the declaration of global health emergency by the WHO, the three waves of COVID-19 contamination and to the good results of Pfizer vaccine trials. The disruption caused by COVID-19 in retail, the accelerated trend towards electronic commerce and the strong link between self-intention to self-isolate and intention to make unusual purchases, may explain the positive reaction of e-commerce stocks in the first phase of COVID-19. The restored opportunity to spend and pent-up demand tend to explain the positive market returns found in the last phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. In contrast, the declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic and the lockdown announcements in each country seem to be bad news for e-commerce firms, which observe an abnormal negative and statistically significant return. The reduction of consumer expenses and precautionary savings to self-insure against the risk of unemployment tends to explain these results. These reactions are reinforced or mitigated by firm-specific characteristics such as liquidity, profitability, leverage and e-commerce main activity.Originality/valueTo our best knowledge, it is the first study that analyses the impact of different phases of COVID-19 on the market returns of e-commerce global firms. This study intends to fill this gap in the literature.

Keywords: E-commerce; COVID-19; Stock market reaction; Event study (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-03-2025-0156

DOI: 10.1108/JES-03-2025-0156

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