Volatility transmission within financial markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: are faith-based investors well off in Tunisia?
Mustapha Ishaq Akinlaso,
Aroua Robbana and
Nura Mohamed
Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 2021, vol. 13, issue 1, 98-113
Abstract:
Purpose - This paper aims to investigate the risk-return and volatility spillover within the Tunisian stock market during the COVID-19 pandemic analyzing both the Islamic and conventional stocks’ performance. Design/methodology/approach - Both symmetric (GARCH and GARCH-M) and asymmetric (Threshold GARCH and Exponential GARCH) models are used to analyze the market returns and volatility response. Standard and Poor’s (S&P) index has been used to test both the Islamic and conventional stocks within the Tunisian stock market. Findings - The findings suggest that both Tunisia Islamic and conventional stock markets are highly persistent; however, the conventional stock index showed a negative return spillover on the Islamic stocks during the pandemic. The conventional stock index has also shown a higher exposure to risk for a lower amount of return, and evidence of potential diversification benefit between both indexes was found during the pandemic, whereas the Islamic market showed a positive leverage effect, indicating a positive correlation between past return and future return; the conventional index implied a negative leverage effect. Originality/value - The value of this paper emerges in studying three main aspects that are specific to the Tunisian stock market. This includes COVID-19 effect of return spillovers, volatility transmission across both conventional and Islamic stock market within the local financial market.
Keywords: Volatility spillover; COVID-19; Islamic index; Conventional index; EGARCH; GARCH-M; Asymmetry; Tunisia; G01; G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jiabrp:jiabr-12-2020-0388
DOI: 10.1108/JIABR-12-2020-0388
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