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Data‐efficient model building for financial applications

Sven Sandow and Xuelong Zhou

Journal of Risk Finance, 2007, vol. 8, issue 2, 133-155

Abstract: Purpose - Investors often rely on probabilistic models that were learned from small historical labeled datasets. The purpose of this article is to propose a new method for data‐efficient model learning. Design/methodology/approach - The proposed method, which is an extension of the standard minimum relative entropy (MRE) approach and has a clear financial interpretation, belongs to the class of semi‐supervised algorithms, which can learn from data that are only partially labeled with values of the variable of interest. Findings - This study tests the method on an artificial dataset and uses it to learn a model for recovery of defaulted debt. In both cases, the resulting models perform better than the standard MRE model, when the number of labeled data is small. Originality/value - The method can be applied to financial problems where labeled data are sparse but unlabeled data are readily available.

Keywords: Learning; Learning methods; Financial modelling; Credit (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:jrfpps:15265940710732332

DOI: 10.1108/15265940710732332

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