The Effect of Marriage on Household Labor Supply

Shiho Yukawa

Economic Analysis, 2018, vol. 197, 95-112

Abstract: This study examines the effect of the husband's job loss on childbirth by employing the retro-spective panel data built by the employment history of Keio Household Panel Survey. The following three points are clarified by the results of the fixed effect logit, random effect logit, and linear probability model. First, the estimated results indicated that the decrease in the probability of childbirth was observed at one year after the husband's job loss, which is caused by a considerable drop in the husband's income. In contrast, a persistent decrease in the probability of childbirth was not observed. Second, the estimated results indicated that the decrease in the probability of childbirth was observed only in cases in which the husband's educational qualification was low. This is because re-employment is difficult and the negative effect of the job loss snowballs in the case of the hus-band's low educational qualification. Third, the longer the husband remained unemployed after the job loss, the lower was the probability of childbirth. JEL Classification Codes：J12,J13,J60 Keywords：Childbirth, Husband’s job loss, Retrospective panel data

Date: 2018
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