RADAR – A system dynamics model: Analysing long-term impacts of R&I policy on competitive sustainability

Igor CZERMAINSKI de OLIVEIRA and Bianca Cavicchi ()
Additional contact information
Igor CZERMAINSKI de OLIVEIRA: European Commission
Bianca Cavicchi: European Commission

EU research and innovation paper series from Directorate General for Research and Innovation (DG RTD) of the European Commission

Abstract: This study focuses on two critical technological domains: mRNA technology in biotechnology and green hydrogen in clean energy, aligning with Ursula von der Leyen’s political guidelines for the 2024–2029 (European Commission, 2024c). mRNA technology represents a breakthrough in precision medicine, through its rapid, scalable and adaptable solutions, enhancing health resilience and long-term societal well-being. Similarly, green hydrogen is central to achieving climate neutrality and strategic autonomy under the European Green Deal, as it provides a pathway for industrial decarbonisation and energy security. The study demonstrates that system dynamics modelling can contribute significantly to the ex-ante impact assessment and, potentially, to ex-post evaluations of research and innovation (R&I) policies and policy portfolios. This methodological approach captures the complex interdependencies and non-linearities inherent in innovation systems, providing policymakers with a better, evidence-based understanding of how R&I policy measures interact over time and what plausible medium- and long-term outcomes different policy interventions may yield on competitive sustainability. Enriching a pipeline view of the innovation process by considering delays and feedback mechanisms brings these analytical possibilities but also emphasises on a deterministic view of the innovation process that is more consistent with the reality of research organisations and corporations than startups and other types of innovative organisations.

Keywords: Research and Innovation funding; impact assessment; econometric methods; spillover effects; mediation analysis; policy evaluation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C18 O32 O38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 41 pages
Date: 2025-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env, nep-eur, nep-ino and nep-sbm
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://research-and-innovation.ec.europa.eu/knowl ... ility_en?prefLang=hr (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eug:wpaper:ki-01-24-079-en-n

DOI: 10.2777/7159711

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in EU research and innovation paper series from Directorate General for Research and Innovation (DG RTD) of the European Commission
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Paolo Pasimeni, Head of Unit, DG RTD unit G1 ().