Methodical Approach to Estimation of Energy Efficiency Parameters of the Economy Under the Structural Changes in the Fuel And Energy Balance (on the Example of Baikal Region)

Boris Grigorievich Saneev (), Alexander Daniilovich Sokolov (), Svetlana Yuryevna Muzychyuk () and Roman Igorevich Muzychyuk ()
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Boris Grigorievich Saneev: Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Alexander Daniilovich Sokolov: Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Svetlana Yuryevna Muzychyuk: Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Roman Igorevich Muzychyuk: Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, 2013, issue 4, 90-106

Abstract: The authors consider a methodical approach which allows estimating energy efficiency parameters of the region’s economy using a fuel and energy balance (FEB). This approach was tested on the specific case of Baikal region. During the testing process the authors have developed ex ante and ex post FEBs and estimated energy efficiency parameters such as energy-, electro- and heat capacity of GRP, coefficients of useful utilization of fuel and energy resources and a monetary version of FEB. Forecast estimations are based on assumptions and limitations of technologically-intensive development scenario of the region. Authors show that the main factor of structural changes in the fuel and energy balance will be the large-scale development of hydrocarbon resources in Baikal region. It will cause structural changes in the composition of both the debit and credit of FEB (namely the structure of export and final consumption of fuel and energy resources). Authors assume that the forecast structural changes of the region’s FEB will significantly improve energy efficiency parameters of the economy: energy capacity of GRP will decrease by 1,5 times in 2010– 2030, electro and heat capacity – 1,9 times; coefficients of useful utilization of fuel and energy resources will increase by 3–5 p.p. This will save about 20 million tons of fuel equivalent (about 210 billion rubles in 2011 the prices) until 2030.

Keywords: ?; Methodical; approach; ?; energy; efficiency; ?; economy; ?; power; consumption; ?; fuel; and; energy; complex; ?; fuel; and; energy; balance; ?; Baikal; region (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:far:spaeco:y:2013:i:4:p:90-106

DOI: 10.14530/se.2013.4.090-106

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