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The R&D Puzzle in U.S. Manufacturing Productivity Growth

Danial Lashkari and Jeremy Pearce
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Danial Lashkari: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/economists/Lashkari

No 20250106, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: In a previous post, we provided evidence for a broad-based slowdown in productivity growth across industries and firms in the U.S. manufacturing sector starting in 2010. Since firms’ investment in research and development (R&D) for new technologies constitutes a central driver of productivity growth, in this post we ask if the observed slowdown in productivity may be due to a decline in R&D. We find that “R&D intensity” has been increasing at both the firm and industry level, even as productivity growth declines. This points to a decline in the effectiveness of R&D in generating productivity growth in U.S. manufacturing.

Keywords: productivity; manufacturing; innovation; competition; economic growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O33 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-01-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cse, nep-eff, nep-ino and nep-sbm
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