Making Sense of Recession Probabilities

Brooke Hathhorn and Michael Owyang

On the Economy from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: While recession probabilities can provide a snapshot of current economic conditions, relying on them to judge whether a recession is underway can be risky.

Keywords: recession; forecasts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-05-27
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:l00001:100021

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