Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim

Bart De Ketelbutter, Ludovic Dobbelaere and Filip Vanhorebeek

Working Papers from Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium

Abstract: This working paper gives an overview of the Modtrim team's recent research in the field of Belgian exports and export markets. In the first chapter a new leading indicator is introduced as a supplementary tool to determine a growth profile for Belgium's potential export markets in the first quarters of the forecasting period. In the second chapter, an attempt is made to improve forecasts of Belgium's exports by breaking down the model equation into a goods and a services component. Finally, the third chapter reveals that (a lack of) competitiveness is probably not the only reason for the losses of export market share in Belgium and in some of its main trading partners in the past 25 years.

JEL-codes: C13 E37 F20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-09-20
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fpb:wpaper:200710

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