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Working Paper 08-17 - Vehicle stock modelling in long term projections - Survey of the literature

Laurent Franckx

Working Papers from Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium

Abstract: Transport models used for long-term projections should reflect the impact of shared, automated and electric mobility modes. The objective of the current paper is to derive lessons from the existing literature on vehicle ownership modelling to find options to further improve the PLANET model, which is used for projections of transport demand in Belgium.PLANET is already well equipped to represent the impacts of shared and automated cars on the opportunity cost of travel time, the load factors and the annual mileage of cars.

Keywords: Transport demand; Long-term forecasting; Technology diffusion; Car ownership; Automated vehicles; Electric vehicles; Shared mobility; Integrated energy-transport modelling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C25 H23 L62 L9 O3 Q47 Q5 R4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-07-26
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