Extreme weather and civil war in Somalia: Does drought fuel conflict through livestock price shocks?

Jean-François Maystadt, Olivier Ecker and Athur Mabiso

No 1243, IFPRI discussion papers from International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Abstract: Climate change leads to more frequent and more intense droughts in Somalia. In a global context, weather shocks have been found to perpetuate poverty and fuel civil conflict. By relating regional and temporal variations in violent conflict outbreaks with drought incidence and severity, we show that this causality is valid also for Somalia at the local level. We find that livestock price shocks drive drought-induced conflicts through reducing the opportunity costs of conflict participation.

Keywords: civil war; climate change; conflict; drought; livestock; prices; weather; resilience; armed conflicts; shock; Somalia; Eastern Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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https://hdl.handle.net/10568/153397

Related works:
Working Paper: Extreme Weather and Civil War in Somalia: Does Drought Fuel Conflict through Livestock Price Shocks? (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fpr:ifprid:1243

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