What do we know about the future of agriculture in Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay? The Mercosur Outlook

Nicolás Jorge, Silvia Kanadani Campos, Juan Pablo Gianatiempo, Vanessa da Fonseca da Pereira, Jimena Vicentin Masaro, Graciela Isabel Peri and Valeria Piñeiro

No 39, LAC working papers from International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Abstract: This report constitutes a long-term vision for key variables of the agricultural sector in the Mercosur countries- Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay (or ABPU, with both terms used interchangeably). The objective is not to forecast the sector’s future but to serve as a reference tool, considering long-term drivers. This study addresses the question: what will happen to relevant agricultural variables over the next decade if current trends persist? Although based on a quantitative model, the results are not merely model outputs; they undergo a thorough revision process with experts from each country. The outcomes are also conditional on specific assumptions, including macroeconomic conditions, government policies, weather, international agreements, and other influencing factors.

Keywords: agricultural sector; policies; food security; supply chains; exports; Argentina; Brazil; Paraguay; Uruguay; Americas; South America (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-09-05
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176398

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fpr:lacwps:176398

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in LAC working papers from International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().