Foreign trade and production in 2015: change of geografy
Alexander Knobel
Russian Economic Development, 2015, issue 11, 46-50
Abstract:
On the basis of the results of the first eight months of 2015, it can be concluded that industries where growth in domestic output is observed simultaneously with a drop in competitive import are the agriculture and the food industry. At the same time, substitution of consumption of investment goods – from foreign ones to domestic ones – does not take place: a decline in economic activities is accompanied by a drop both in domestic production and import. Volatility of the national currency (some appreciation of the national currency in April–May followed by depreciation to the level of February–March in July-August) did not have a significant effect either on the dynamics of export or that of import: participants in foreign economic activities did not start to change their business decisions in response to short-term appreciation or weakening of the exchange rate of the national currency. It is to be noted that growth in the export of the non-primary sector either in monetary or physical terms did not take place, either. An insignificant increase in physical volumes of the export was observed only in groups of commodities with a low- and mid-level of processing (non-diversified ones).
Keywords: Foreign trade; Russian Economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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