G20 Countries Tightened Their Monetary Policies in May 2022, Global Economic Outlook Revised Downward

В мае 2022 г. продолжилось ужесточение монетарной политики в странах G20, прогнозы роста мировой экономики ухудшались

Urmat K. Dzhunkeev, Yury N. Perevyshin, Pavel Trunin and Maria Chembulatova
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Urmat K. Dzhunkeev: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Yury N. Perevyshin: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Russian Economic Development, 2022, issue 7, 4-14

Abstract: The UN and the European Commission have revised downward the global GDP growth estimate to 3.1%–3.2% in 2022, a decrease compared with the IMF outlook released in April (3.6%). The economic growth outlooks for China and the US in 2022 were lowered to 4.2%–4.6% and 2.4%–2.9%, respectively. At the same time, the rate of inflation keeps growing and the monetary authorities of all G20 developed countries which held meetings in May took a decision to tighten their monetary policies. The US Federal Reserve declared that they were going to reduce the balance by $47.5 bn a month starting from June. The central banks of India, Brazil, Mexico and South Africa raised interest rates. At its extraordinary meeting in May, the Central Bank of Russia reduced the key rate by 3 p.p. to 11% on the back of ebbing of inflationary pressures because of sagging demand, appreciation of the exchange rate of the Russian ruble and a decline in inflation expectations.

Keywords: world economy; growth rates; forecast; monetary policy; UN; European commission (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 C54 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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