Event Prediction Using Spatial–Temporal Data for a Predictive Traffic Accident Approach Through Categorical Logic

Eleftheria Koutsaki, George Vardakis and Nikos Papadakis ()
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Eleftheria Koutsaki: Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Hellenic Mediterranean University, 71410 Heraklion, Greece
George Vardakis: Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Hellenic Mediterranean University, 71410 Heraklion, Greece
Nikos Papadakis: Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Hellenic Mediterranean University, 71410 Heraklion, Greece

Data, 2025, vol. 10, issue 6, 1-27

Abstract: An event is an occurrence that takes place at a specific time and location that can be either weather-related (snowfall), social (crime), natural (earthquake), political (political unrest), or medical (pandemic) in nature. These events do not belong to the “normal” or “usual” spectrum and result in a change in a given situation; thus, their prediction would be very beneficial, both in terms of timely response to them and for their prevention, for example, the prevention of traffic accidents. However, this is currently challenging for researchers, who are called upon to manage and analyze a huge volume of data in order to design applications for predicting events using artificial intelligence and high computing power. Although significant progress has been made in this area, the heterogeneity in the input data that a forecasting application needs to process—in terms of their nature (spatial, temporal, and semantic)—and the corresponding complex dependencies between them constitute the greatest challenge for researchers. For this reason, the initial forecasting applications process data for specific situations, in terms of number and characteristics, while, at the same time, having the possibility to respond to different situations, e.g., an application that predicts a pandemic can also predict a central phenomenon, simply by using different data types. In this work, we present the forecasting applications that have been designed to date. We also present a model for predicting traffic accidents using categorical logic, creating a Knowledge Base using the Resolution algorithm as a proof of concept. We study and analyze all possible scenarios that arise under different conditions. Finally, we implement the traffic accident prediction model using the Prolog language with the corresponding Queries in JPL.

Keywords: events; event prediction; traffic accident; spatiotemporal data; artificial intelligence; machine learning; OSRM; categorical logic; knowledge base; resolution algorithm; Prolog; JPL (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C8 C80 C81 C82 C83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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