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Arbitrage Returns on the MISO Exchange

Kevin Jones ()
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Kevin Jones: Marilyn Davies College of Business, University of Houston-Downtown, 320 N. Main Street, Houston, TX 77002, USA

JRFM, 2025, vol. 18, issue 7, 1-10

Abstract: This paper examines arbitrage opportunities available in one of the largest wholesale electricity markets in the world, the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) electricity exchange. While prior research suggests that market efficiency on the exchange has increased over time, this study reveals that historical pricing information can still be used to generate positive returns. I find that a trading rule based on prior spot and forward prices generates statistically and economically significant risk-adjusted returns across the entire MISO footprint. These returns may in part be explained by the relatively small number of financial traders in the market and the ability of generation owners to exercise market power.

Keywords: wholesale electricity; efficient markets; Midcontinent Independent System Operator; energy derivatives (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C E F2 F3 G (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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