Impact of the Demographic Dividend on Urban Land Use Efficiency

Juan Yang, Genchuan Bai, Dinghua Ou, Xuesong Gao, Bing Li () and Changquan Wang
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Juan Yang: College of Resources, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China
Genchuan Bai: College of Resources, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China
Dinghua Ou: College of Resources, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China
Xuesong Gao: College of Resources, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China
Bing Li: College of Resources, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China
Changquan Wang: College of Resources, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China

Land, 2024, vol. 13, issue 12, 1-24

Abstract: The demographic transition that accompanies the urbanization transformation has a key impact on land use efficiency. This study applies the PVAR, SDM, and threshold models to investigate the influence of China’s demographic dividend composition on urban land use efficiency, aiming to provide guidance for the strategic management and allocation of demographic resources, thereby optimizing urban land resource utilization. The key findings are as follows: (1) Spatial effects reveal that the scale and structural dividends of the population size dividend significantly inhibit urban land use efficiency, whereas the technological dividend of the population quality dividend initially restrains but ultimately enhances it. The combined impact of quantitative and qualitative demographic dividends on land use efficiency is most pronounced in the west and least in the east. High population provinces see significant land use efficiency benefits, contrasting with medium and low population provinces. (2) Both population size and quality dividends exhibit a single-threshold effect on land use efficiency. In summary, cultivating diverse talents with superior technical skills is essential for fostering the upgrade of new industrialization models, ultimately significantly enhancing land use efficiency.

Keywords: demographic dividend; land use efficiency; SBM-undesirable model; spatial Durbin model; threshold effect (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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