Intensifying Effects of Climate Change in Food Loss: A Threat to Food Security in Turkey

Nihal Ahmed, Franklin Ore Areche, Guillermo Gomer Cotrina Cabello, Pedro David Córdova Trujillo, Adnan Ahmed Sheikh and Mohamad G. Abiad ()
Additional contact information
Nihal Ahmed: College of Economics & Management, Northwest Agricultural & Forestry University, Xianyang 712100, China
Franklin Ore Areche: Professional School of Agroindustrial Engineering, National University of Huancavelica, Huancavelica 09001, Peru
Guillermo Gomer Cotrina Cabello: Escuela de Formación Profesional de Agronomia, Daniel Alcides Carrión National University, Cerro de Pasco 19001, Peru
Pedro David Córdova Trujillo: Escuela de Agronomia, Hermilio Valdizan National University of Huanuco, Huanuco 10003, Peru
Adnan Ahmed Sheikh: Department of Business Administration, Air University Multan Campus, Multan 59300, Pakistan
Mohamad G. Abiad: Department of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Faculty of Agricultural and Food Sciences, American University of Beirut, P.O. Box 11-0236, Beirut 1107-2020, Lebanon

Sustainability, 2022, vol. 15, issue 1, 1-12

Abstract: Turkey is increasingly concerned about the effects of climate change, weather unpredictability, and severe events on agricultural production, food loss, and livelihoods. Turkey has long struggled against climate variability and catastrophic climatic events to prevent further declines in agricultural output. This study assessed the risk of climate change in Turkey from the perspective of loss in food grains and food security domain considering exposure to extreme climate events using the data from 1991 to 2019. This paper makes a theoretical contribution to the literature by identifying the relationship between food waste and food import, food prices and economic growth. It also makes an empirical contribution by administering and econometrically analyzing the impact of the loss of food grains on the aforementioned independent variables. Policy implications for the current national agriculture policy were provided using the vector auto-regression (VAR) model and derivative analysis. Food grain loss negatively correlates with food security since it increases reliance on food imports from outside. Moreover, the losses in food supplies contributes greatly to price increases. The GDP growth rate, however, was shown to be a feeble instigator. Climate change threatens food security, and the country’s progress toward sustainable development objectives is hampered in general, particularly concerning no poverty and zero hunger goals. In conclusion, climate change and its associated factors harm Turkey’s food security and economy.

Keywords: climate change; food security; food supply; food availability; vector auto-regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/1/350/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/1/350/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:350-:d:1015022

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().