Modeling and Analysis of the Impact of Risk Culture on Human Behavior during a Catastrophic Event

Valentina Lanza (), Damienne Provitolo, Nathalie Verdière, Cyrille Bertelle, Edwige Dubos-Paillard, Oscar Navarro, Rodolphe Charrier, Irmand Mikiela, Moulay Aziz-Alaoui, Abdel Halim Boudoukha, Anne Tricot, Alexandra Schleyer-Lindenmann, Alexandre Berred, Sébastien Haule and Emmanuel Tric
Additional contact information
Valentina Lanza: LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France
Damienne Provitolo: Université Côte d’Azur, CNRS, Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur, IRD, Géoazur, UMR 7329, 06300 Valbonne, France
Nathalie Verdière: LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France
Cyrille Bertelle: LITIS, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France
Edwige Dubos-Paillard: Géographie-Cités UMR 8504, Université Paris 1, Panthéon-Sorbonne, 75005 Paris, France
Oscar Navarro: Laboratoire de Psychologie des Pays de la Loire, Université de Nantes, 44000 Nantes, France
Rodolphe Charrier: LITIS, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France
Irmand Mikiela: LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France
Moulay Aziz-Alaoui: LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France
Abdel Halim Boudoukha: Laboratoire de Psychologie des Pays de la Loire, Université de Nantes, 44000 Nantes, France
Anne Tricot: ESPACE, Aix-Marseille-Univ, CNRS, Université Côte d’Azur, Avignon Université, 84029 Avignon, France
Alexandra Schleyer-Lindenmann: ESPACE, Aix-Marseille-Univ, CNRS, Université Côte d’Azur, Avignon Université, 84029 Avignon, France
Alexandre Berred: LMAH, FR-CNRS-3335, Université Le Havre Normandie, 76600 Le Havre, France
Sébastien Haule: Géographie-Cités UMR 8504, Université Paris 1, Panthéon-Sorbonne, 75005 Paris, France
Emmanuel Tric: Université Côte d’Azur, CNRS, Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur, IRD, Géoazur, UMR 7329, 06300 Valbonne, France

Sustainability, 2023, vol. 15, issue 14, 1-27

Abstract: In a world more and more affected by natural and/or industrial disasters, it is essential to understand, analyze and control human behavior during such events. The work presented in this article is one of the results of a transdisciplinary collaboration between geographers, psychologists, mathematicians, computer scientists, operational staff and stakeholders in risk management. This collaboration made it possible to identify the diverse behavioral reactions that can occur during a disaster and to propose a categorization of these behavioral states and their transitions. These behavioral dynamics are described by the APC (Alert–Panic–Control) mathematical model, which integrates two key elements (among others) during disasters: cognition and social contagion. Several scenarios are developed, and a qualitative analysis of the model is conducted to better understand the role of crowd density and risk culture on behavioral dynamics.

Keywords: human behaviors; mathematical modeling; disaster; risk management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
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