Mismatch Between Heat Exposure Risk and Blue-Green Exposure in Wuhan: A Coupled Spatial Analysis

Taiyun Xia, Liwei Zhang () and Yu Zou
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Taiyun Xia: Sichuan Institute of Land and Spatial Planning, Chengdu 610081, China
Liwei Zhang: Sichuan Institute of Land and Spatial Planning, Chengdu 610081, China
Yu Zou: School of Architecture, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, China

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 18, 1-18

Abstract: Urban blue-green infrastructure (UBGI) has been recognized as an effective nature-based solution (NbS) for mitigating urban overheating through temperature reduction. However, there is a paucity of research examining whether UBGI spatial configurations align with the geographical distribution of the heat exposure risks of urban residents. This study focuses on this research gap, employing a population-weighted algorithm to conduct a refined assessment of the blue-green spaces exposure and heat exposure risks of urban residents. Then, the heat exposure risk was conceptualized as the demand for cooling services, with exposure to blue-green spaces serving as the supply. A comprehensive assessment was finally conducted of the supply–demand relationship and coupling coordination level for cooling services in central Wuhan. The following findings were revealed: (1) Both heat exposure risks and blue-green exposure demonstrate distinct “west high–east low” spatial gradients. It is evident that extreme high/high-risk zones, which encompass 17.1% of the study area, house 74.49% of the permanent population; (2) A substantial and pervasive positive correlation exists between UGBI exposure and the heat exposure risk. “High-demand–high-supply” areas (14.90% coverage) concentrate in urban cores, overlapping with 61.25% high-risk populations, while 0.29% of zones show “high-demand–low-supply” mismatches, revealing concentrated but ineffective UGBI distribution; (3) A pervasive supply–demand imbalance is evident, with 90.64% of regions exhibiting an unacceptable coupling type range (0 < D ≤ 0.4) and a mere 1.39% attaining an acceptable range (0.6 < D ≤ 1). These findings underscore the inadequacy of prevailing urban blue-green infrastructure configurations in addressing heat exposure risks. The construction of cities with greater heat resilience necessitates the implementation of multidimensional strategies aimed at risk mitigation.

Keywords: heat exposure risk; blue-green space exposure; coupled coordination model; spatial autocorrelation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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