Biais cognitifs et choix technologiques: Une analyse des priorités des experts français

Caroline Hussler () and Patrick Rondé ()
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Caroline Hussler: BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, RECITS - Recherches et Etudes sur le Changement Industriel, Technologique et Sociétal - UTBM - Université de Technologie de Belfort-Montbeliard
Patrick Rondé: GRAICO - Groupe de recherche sur l'apprentissage, l'innovation et la connaissance dans les organisations - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar

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Abstract: In an age prickling with socio-technological controversy, expert judgments and their representativeness are under pressure. Our article seeks to analyze the behavior of French experts in order to test the neutrality of their technological choices. To address this question, we have drawn on a technology outlook survey conducted in France, in which 1,200 experts were asked to rate the importance of 1,150 technological options for the future. We performed empirical tests to determine whether the respondents' choices depended on their level of expertise. We found that the designated research priorities matched the experts' own areas of interest. This suggests that the experts' opinions are subject to biases that may be viewed as incompatible with the criterion of objectivity used to justify their decisive role in decision-making.

Keywords: Elecciones tecnologicas; Ayuda a la decision publica; Sesgos cognitivos; Choix technologiques; Aide à la décision publique; Expertise; Biais cognitifs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Published in Economie et Prévision, 2006, 4-5 (175-176), pp.65-78. ⟨10.3917/ecop.175.0065⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00279363

DOI: 10.3917/ecop.175.0065

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