History, time and futures studies. Tensions from geostrategy anticipatory practices

Anne Marchais-Roubelat () and Fabrice Roubelat ()
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Anne Marchais-Roubelat: LIRSA - Laboratoire interdisciplinaire de recherche en sciences de l'action - CNAM - Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers [CNAM]
Fabrice Roubelat: CEREGE [Poitiers, La Rochelle] - Centre de recherche en gestion [EA 1722] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers - ULR - La Rochelle Université

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Abstract: Since seminal futures publications, geostrategy anticipatory practices have infused the futures field, as well as questioned the place of time and history in futures thinking. Exploring the temporal tensions of futures thinking, this paper discusses lessons from two geostrategy futures cases. Bridging history and futures studies, section 1 stresses the wicked nature of future history and discusses research directions to introduce time in futures thinking. Section 2 exhibits the context, the design and the methodological backgrounds of the two cases. Section 3 discusses the temporal tensions between factors, actors and events on the one hand and within action processes on the other hand and suggests developing a streaming approach of anticipation.

Date: 2019-10
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02557600v1
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Published in Anticipation 2019, Oslo School of Architecture and Design, Oct 2019, Oslo, Norway

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