Conflict in times of COVID-19

Nicolas Berman (), Mathieu Couttenier, Nathalie Monnet and Rohit Ticku
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Rohit Ticku: Institute for the Study of Religion, Economics and Society, Chapman University

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Abstract: This chapter discusses the potential impacts of the spread of COVID-19, and the restriction policies that it has triggered in many countries, on conflict incidence worldwide. Based on anecdotal evidence and recent research, we argue that imposing nation-wide shutdown policies diminishes conflict incidence on average, but that this conflict reduction may be short-lived and highly heterogeneous across countries. In particular, conflict does not appear to decline in poor, fractionalised countries. Evidence points to two potential ways in which COVID-related restriction policies may increase conflict: losses in income and magnified ethnic and religious tensions leading to scapegoating of minorities.

Date: 2020-06-22
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Published in Simeon Djankov; Ugo Panizza. COVID-19 in Developing Economie, CEPR Press, pp.147-156, 2020, 978-1-912179-35-0

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02877564

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