Trade in Value‐Added and the Welfare Gains of International Fragmentation
Arnold Njike
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Arnold Njike: UP1 UFR02 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - École d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
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Abstract:
ABSTRACT This study examines the overall impact of international production fragmentation on the welfare gains from trade. Using a novel model that accounts for shifts in preferences between local and foreign goods and distinguishes between intermediate and final goods trade, we gain a more nuanced understanding of how fragmentation shapes these welfare gains. Our findings challenge earlier estimates, showing that international fragmentation contributes around 20% to trade‐related welfare gains, a significantly smaller impact than previously believed. This result highlights the importance of considering changing consumer preferences, which can reduce the projected advantages of global supply chain integration.
Date: 2025
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Published in Review of International Economics, inPress, ⟨10.1111/roie.70012⟩
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05346427
DOI: 10.1111/roie.70012
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