Energy transition scenarios in France: what impact on employment?

Les scénarios de transition énergétique en france, quel impact sur l’emploi ?

Chloé Raffin and Philippe Quirion
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Chloé Raffin: CIRED - Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris

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Abstract: While the decarbonization of electricity is a central objective of French energy planning, the possible trajectories remain multiple and varied, particularly concerning the distribution between renewable energies and nuclear power. Each trajectory has macroeconomic impacts, particularly on employment. To address this issue, this article analyzes the impact of RTE power generation scenarios on employment in France, using the TETE input-output model and RTE cost assumptions. The results show that scenarios which tend towards a 100% renewable energy mix generate more jobs, and also require more investment. Thus, the lower number of jobs in the nuclear industry in these scenarios is more than offset by job creation due to renewables. This dynamic varies from region to region, and some will face challenges in terms of reorientation and professional training. Finally, a comparison with other studies using different methods confirms the obtained trends.

Keywords: renewable energies; nuclear; scenario; energy transition; employment; emploi; transition énergétique; scénario; énergies renouvelables; nucléaire (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-07-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-env
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Published in Revue de l'OFCE, 2025, 188 (1), pp.5-41. ⟨10.3917/reof.188.0005⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05535447

DOI: 10.3917/reof.188.0005

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