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Upcycling climate policies in times of crisis: from the politics of trade-offs to synergy politics

Pierre Funalot (), Jonas Peisker, Eric Rougier, Maïder Saint-Jean () and Roman Hoffmann
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Pierre Funalot: BSE - Bordeaux sciences économiques - UB - Université de Bordeaux - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, UR Religion, Culture et Société - ICP - Institut Catholique de Paris (ICP), ACT - Analyse des Crises et Transitions - LABEX ICCA - UP13 - Université Paris 13 - Université Sorbonne Nouvelle - Paris 3 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UPCité - Université Paris Cité - Université Sorbonne Paris Nord - Université Sorbonne Paris Nord
Jonas Peisker: IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg]
Eric Rougier: Unknown
Maïder Saint-Jean: UB - Université de Bordeaux
Roman Hoffmann: Unknown

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Abstract: This chapter asks how climate policy can move from a fragile politics of trade-offs to a more durable politics of synergies. We argue that backlash against mitigation in Europe stems less from climate scepticism than from the perceived incompatibility between decarbonization and living standards. Combining Eurobarometer evidence on environmental and economic concerns with an Agent-Based Stock–Flow Consistent model (SEN-HARP), we conceptualize political support as the interaction between two layers: political drive and public support. We then explore policy scenarios that contrast business-as-usual, Green Deal-style and post-growth strategies. Our results show that when climate policies are embedded in strong provisioning systems and redistributive mechanisms, rapid decarbonization can enhance needs satisfaction and consolidate pro-transition coalitions instead of eroding them. Upcycling existing instruments into integrated policy packages thus appears crucial to transform trade-offs into social-ecological synergies and to make ambitious mitigation both politically feasible and socially just.

Keywords: Agent-based modelling; Provisioning systems; Ecological transition; Green backlash; Environmental concerns (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-08-14
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Published in Mario Biggeri; Andrea Ferrannini. Navigating Transitions to Sustainable Human Development, Edward Elgar Publishing, pp.203-223, 2026, Sociology, Social Policy and Education 2026, 9781035390663. ⟨10.4337/9781035390670.00017⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05787546

DOI: 10.4337/9781035390670.00017

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