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The new geography of eastern european trade

Mathilde Maurel and Guillaume Cheikbossian

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Abstract: This paper is meant to answer the question whether the CMEA countries trade flows have been able to catch up with their trade potential. The gravity equations estimated over a panel of 14 years show that there is a room for an increase in trade, which could compensate for the huge regional trade losses. But, if one takes into account the higher than average transportation costs in East Europe, this potential increase may only he reached through the reduction of these transportation costs and through further liberalisation of regional trade flows. How costly has been the disintegration process? The computation of gross trade destruction (GTD) versus trade creation (TC) minus external trade diversion (ETD) in the framework of the Viner model reflects the decreasing costs of the CMEA break-up: a dramatic trade reorientation has taken place, and it is welfare improving.

Keywords: commerce; pays; de; l'Est (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998-02
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

Published in Kyklos, 1998, 51 (1), pp.45-72. ⟨10.1111/j.1467-6435.1998.tb01712.x⟩

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Journal Article: The New Geography of Eastern European Trade (1998) Downloads
Working Paper: The New Geography of Eastern European Trade (1998)
Working Paper: The New Geography of Eastern European Trade (1998)
Working Paper: The New Geography of Eastern European Trade (1997) Downloads
Working Paper: The New Geography of Eastern European Trade (1997)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00468826

DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-6435.1998.tb01712.x

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