Sensitivity Analysis of Emissions Markets: A Discrete-Time Radner Equilibrium Approach

Stéphane Crépey (), Mekonnen Tadese () and Gauthier Vermandel ()
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Stéphane Crépey: LPSM (UMR_8001) - Laboratoire de Probabilités, Statistique et Modélisation - SU - Sorbonne Université - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UPCité - Université Paris Cité
Mekonnen Tadese: LPSM (UMR_8001) - Laboratoire de Probabilités, Statistique et Modélisation - SU - Sorbonne Université - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UPCité - Université Paris Cité
Gauthier Vermandel: CMAP - Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées de l'Ecole polytechnique - Inria - Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: Emissions markets play a crucial role in reducing pollution by encouraging firms to minimize costs. However, their structure heavily relies on the decisions of policymakers, on the future economic activities, and on the availability of abatement technologies. This study examines how changes in regulatory standards, firms' abatement costs, and emissions levels affect allowance prices and firms' efforts to reduce emissions. This is done in a Radner equilibrium framework encompassing inter-temporal decision-making, uncertainty, and a comprehensive assessment of the market dynamics and outcomes. The results of this research have the potential to assist policymakers in enhancing the structure and efficiency of emissions trading systems, through an in-depth comprehension of the reactions of market stakeholders towards different market situations.

Keywords: Emissions; Carbon market; Radner equilibrium; Sensitivity analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-11-09
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04775054v1
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