Impact of the war in Ukraine on the Moroccan economy from a gender perspective

Nour El Hoda Yassine ()
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Nour El Hoda Yassine: FAI - Université Le Havre Normandie - Faculté des Affaires Internationales - ULH - Université Le Havre Normandie - NU - Normandie Université, EDEHN - Equipe d'Economie Le Havre Normandie - ULH - Université Le Havre Normandie - NU - Normandie Université

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Abstract: This study examines the effects of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the Moroccan economy, with particular emphasis on gender-differentiated outcomes. A computable general equilibrium model (CGEM) incorporating a gender-sensitive framework is employed to assess these impacts. Two series of simulations are conducted. The first comprises four independent scenarios, each isolating the change in the global price of a specific commodity. The second corresponds to an aggregated scenario capturing the overall economic shock associated with the war in Ukraine. The results indicate that the conflict-induced shocks generated adverse macroeconomic effects, including contractions in real GDP, household consumption, real investment, and national savings, alongside a decline in foreign trade flows. Moreover, labor market conditions deteriorated, with a notable reduction in employment, disproportionately affecting Moroccan women. These findings align with existing literature showing that the conflict has generated negative repercussions for economies and labor markets, particularly for women.

Keywords: War in Ukraine Russia Gender Morocco Raw materials CGEM; War in Ukraine; Russia; Gender; Morocco; Raw materials; CGEM (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-12-08
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