Oil Extraction and Price Dynamics

Aude Illig and Ian Schindler
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Aude Illig: TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement
Ian Schindler: TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement

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Abstract: We use the dynamic production function identities and an empirical model of oil prices based only on oil extraction data to analyze the dynamics of oil prices as we transition into the contraction phase of oil extraction. We explore the implications with respect to several common scenarios.

Date: 2026-01-23
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