The Duhem-Quine thesis and experimental economics: A reinterpretation
Morten Søberg ()
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Morten Søberg: Statistics Norway, Postal: Statistics Norway, Postboks 8131 Dep, 0033 Oslo
No 21/2002, Memorandum from Oslo University, Department of Economics
Abstract:
The Duhem-Quine thesis asserts that any empirical evaluation of a theory is in fact a composite test of several interconnected hypotheses. Recalcitrant evidence signals falsity within the conjunction of hypotheses, but logic alone cannot pinpoint the individual element(s) inside the theoretical cluster responsible for a false prediction. This paper considers the relevance of the Duhem-Quine thesis for experimental economics. A starting point is to detail how laboratory evaluations of economic hypotheses constitute composite tests. Another aim is to scrutinize the strategy of conducting a series of experiments in order to hem in the source(s) of disconfirmative evidence. A Bayesian approach is employed to argue that reproducing experiments is not necessarily useful in terms of identifying correct causes of recalcitrant data.
Keywords: Experimental economics; methodology; Duhem-Quine thesis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: B41 C90 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24 pages
Date: 2003-06-18
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hhs:osloec:2002_021
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