Innovation Scenarios for Ecuadorian Agrifood Network

Cristian-German Hernandez (), Fernando Barragan-Ochoa () and Joshua Hurtado-Hurtado ()
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Cristian-German Hernandez: Universidad de Guayaquil (Ecuador)
Fernando Barragan-Ochoa: Instituto de Altos Estudios Nacionales (Ecuador)
Joshua Hurtado-Hurtado: University of Helsinki (Finland)

Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), 2023, vol. 17, issue 1, 67-79

Abstract: The purpose of this study is to explore plausible scenarios and identify the desired scenario for the agrifood beef network in Santo Domingo, Ecuador until 2035. A methodological approach based on the processes of participation and collective reflection is proposed, which integrates methods from the French School of Prospective and The Futures Triangle V. 2.0. Four plausible scenarios were developed for the object of study: Innovate Against the Tide, National Pioneers, Obsolescent Gait, and Missed Opportunity. Of these, National Pioneers was deemed the desired scenario, because it integrates high innovation in the beef agrifood network with favorable environmental conditions. This study contributes to anticipating the evolution of Santo Domingo s innovation in the agrifood network, which can promote a favorable trajectory for the province s sustainable development.

Keywords: scenarios; futures studies; innovation; prospective; foresight; agrifood networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: M1 O2 O30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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