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Thinking in Categories of Multivariant Future

Ewald Boehlke () and Eckard Minx ()
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Ewald Boehlke: Daimler AG (Germany)
Eckard Minx: Daimler AG (Germany)

Foresight and STI Governance, 2008, vol. 2, issue 4, 4-8

Abstract: Complex and implicit issues of utilizing scenario method in strategic planning are considered. Special emphasis is placed on a gap between future visions and related actions of politicians and business actors that prevents efficient decision-making on the national level. Authors not only reveal existing contradictions but also attempt to explain their causes and recommend solutions to overcome the problem. They propose an unconventional approach - scenario design of the future. It allows revealing relations between various complex phenomenons, comparing consequences of alternative development pathways and make better decisions. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: strategic management; strategic planning; strategic thinking (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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