Key Parameters of Russia's Long-Term Economic Development: A Scenario Analysis

Alexander Apokin, Dmitry Belousov and Kirill Mikhailenko ()
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Kirill Mikhailenko: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (Russia)
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Kirill Mikhaylenko

Foresight and STI Governance, 2010, vol. 4, issue 1, 4-18

Abstract: Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising — innovation-based — scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: foresight; scenarios for Russia's development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O32 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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