Energy Technologies 2050

Marlene Arens (), Christian Dotsch (), Sebastian Herkel (), Wolfram Krewitt, Peter Markevitz (), Dominique Most (), Julie Oberschmidt (), Martin Scheufen () and Martin Wietschel ()
Additional contact information
Marlene Arens: Fraunhofer Institute for System and Innovation Research (Germany)
Christian Dotsch: Fraunhofer Institute for Environmental, Safety and Energy Technologies (Germany)
Sebastian Herkel: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems (Germany)
Wolfram Krewitt: German Centre for Air and Space
Peter Markevitz: Julich Research Centre (Germany)
Dominique Most: Graduate School of Engineering, University of Karlsruhe (Germany)
Julie Oberschmidt: Fraunhofer Institute for System and Innovation Research (Germany)
Martin Scheufen: Institute of High Voltage Technology, Rhine-Westphalian Technical University Aachen (Germany)
Martin Wietschel: Fraunhofer Institute for System and Innovation Research (Germany)

Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), 2011, vol. 5, issue 1, 4-14

Abstract: Research and development in the field of energy technologies is characterized by high risks and substantial investments which pay off only long term. Research in the field of energy technologies requires special support from the government. The study entitled «Energy technologies 2050» reveals priorities for the public policy support with reference to prospective non-nuclear energy research. For this purpose an evaluation methodology has been developed that allows the systematic comparison of technology fields claimed for public funding. The methodology =is based on three scenarios distinguished by the prices for energy carriers, quotas of CO2 emissions, energy consumption and estimated volumes of CO2 emissions. The evaluation criteria were selected in a way as to reflect the key energy policy goals and to provide comparative analysis of all the thematic areas and technology fields covered. The necessity of public support was detected based on an assessment of the state of the art of an area’s development stage, future demands and main obstacles for growth. The selected fields were then analyzed in detail via expert survey, and S&T policy recommendations for future support were developed. The future of technologies under scrutiny was evaluated in each of the three scenarios. Irrespectively of any scenario areas such as «renewable energy sources», «energy efficiency in industry and tertiary sector», «energy storage» and «power grids» remain stable. The evolution of other thematic areas depend on one or two scenarios and is thus related on framework conditions. The described study could significantly contribute to the identification of prospective research themes and the definition of S&T priorities. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: renewable energy sources; scenarios; R&D funding (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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