Mathematical Simulation of Optimal Control Measures to Avoid Chickenpox Infection

Nada A. Almuallem, Hegagi Mohamed Ali, Essam M. Elsaid, Mohamed R. Eid and W. S. Hassanin

International Journal of Mathematics and Mathematical Sciences, 2025, vol. 2025, 1-19

Abstract: This work presents a comprehensive mathematical analysis of the chickenpox transmission model, including positivity, existence, invariant region, and uniqueness of the solution. We enhance the model by introducing optimal control measures using two time-dependent control variables: prevention measures like vaccination and movement constraints, and isolation measures like quarantine. The study evaluates the basic reproduction number R0, equilibrium points, and stability. New contributions include the analysis of the model’s bifurcations and the proof of the existence of optimal control using Fleming’s theorem. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of optimal control strategies in reducing infection. These results highlight the practical importance of the proposed model in mitigating chickenpox outbreaks and provide a basis for future extensions to fractional systems and additional control variables. The results led us to conclude that, to reduce the danger of catching the chickenpox virus, it is imperative to apply suggested control measures.

Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hin:jijmms:3238188

DOI: 10.1155/ijmm/3238188

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