EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Routh–Hurwitz Stability and Quasiperiodic Attractors in a Fractional-Order Model for Awareness Programs: Applications to COVID-19 Pandemic

Taher S. Hassan, E. M. Elabbasy, A.E. Matouk, Rabie A. Ramadan, Alanazi T. Abdulrahman, Ismoil Odinaev and Binxiang Dai

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2022, vol. 2022, 1-15

Abstract: This work explores Routh–Hurwitz stability and complex dynamics in models for awareness programs to mitigate the spread of epidemics. Here, the investigated models are the integer-order model for awareness programs and their corresponding fractional form. A non-negative solution is shown to exist inside the globally attracting set (GAS) of the fractional model. It is also shown that the diseasefree steady state is locally asymptotically stable (LAS) given that R0 is less than one, where R0 is the basic reproduction number. However, as R0>1, an endemic steady state is created whose stability analysis is studied according to the extended fractional Routh–Hurwitz scheme, as the order lies in the interval (0,2]. Furthermore, the proposed awareness program models are numerically simulated based on the predictor-corrector algorithm and some clinical data of the COVID-19 pandemic in KSA. Besides, the model’s basic reproduction number in KSA is calculated using the selected data R0=1.977828168. In conclusion, the findings indicate the effectiveness of fractional-order calculus to simulate, predict, and control the spread of epidemiological diseases.

Date: 2022
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/ddns/2022/1939260.pdf (application/pdf)
http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/ddns/2022/1939260.xml (application/xml)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hin:jnddns:1939260

DOI: 10.1155/2022/1939260

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society from Hindawi
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mohamed Abdelhakeem ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-19
Handle: RePEc:hin:jnddns:1939260