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A COMPARISON OF PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCES OF THE RANDOM AND STRATEGIC STOCK SELECTION STRATEGIES: THE HAMPTON ROADS STOCK PICKING CONTEST

Sid Howard Credle, Sharad Maheshwari and Edward Pyatt

The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 2007, vol. 1, issue 1, 38-47

Abstract: In this paper the performance of the random and the strategic stock selection approaches are compared and tested to determine which results in the greater level of returns to a portfolio of stocks of Virginia based companies. The analysis is conducted via a stock picking contest developed by a local daily newspaper in the Hampton Roads area and hosted by a local university business school. The contest included 1,225 entries, in which contestants chose five stocks from Virginia-based companies. The portfolio return performance of contestants was observed over a 12 week period and the contestant receiving the greatest hypothetical returns over the contest period received a $1,000 US savings bond. The stocks selected by contestants were classified into two aggregated portfolios, indicating whether a random, or a technical/strategic method, was used to pick stock portfolios. A comparison of the two aggregated portfolios indicated that the technical/ strategic selection group out-performed the random walk selection group. In 10 of 12 weeks of the contest the researchers observed a statistically significant difference in the returns of these portfolios. It was also observed that the strategic group out-performed the selected population of Virginia based companies. None of the aggregated average returns from the random or the strategic selection group portfolios out-performed the Standard & Poors 500 Average during the contest.

Date: 2007
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