16-Questions to Find Mass-Murderers, Spree-Shooters, Domestic-Terrorists, and a Study-1 of 232-School-Shooters with Controls and a Study-2 of 6-Teen-Shooters With 11-Homicidal and 12-Control Youth Rated with Ask Standard Predictor (ASP) of Violence Potential-Youth Version and the MMPI-A: Implications: Use Computer-Tests and Machine-Learning-Equations to Lower Insurance-Premiums and Prevent Church-Bankruptcy from Violent Offenses
James Garbarino,
Robert John Zagar,
Brad Randmark,
Ishup Singh,
Joseph Kovach,
Emma Cenzon,
Michael Benko,
Steve Tippins,
Kenneth G. Busch and
Rohit Baghel
Review of European Studies, 2022, vol. 14, issue 2, 115
Abstract:
630 Domestic-Terrorist-Mass-Murdering-Spree-Shooters are compared with 623-controls and separated by16-Questions with significant a=.846, p<.01, AUC=.704, p<.01 that are- (1) homicidal? (2) suicidal? (3) stressful-life-event? (4) handgun-many-weapons-access? (5) violence-planning-preparing? (6) revenge-motive? (7) eliciting-others-concern? (8) intent-leakage? (9) criminal-misconduct-history? (10) personal-grievance? (11) random-violent-behavior? (12) threatening-victims? (13) dead-male-victim? (14) targeting-person-school-or-work? (15) student-professional-work-relationship? and (15) student? Before the killing, terrorists come twice to courts, doctors, schools and human resources and are not diagnosed as dangerous. In Study-1- [from 1936-2019] 232-school-shooters are contrasted with 232-controls resulting in 414-dead, 832-injured, and 68-suicides (29%) which are analyzed with logistic-regression, F= 227.14, p<.01, df=8/455, R=.894, p<.01, R2=.8, p<.01, and separated with 8-Questions- (1) student? (2) suicidal? (3) stressful-life-event? (4) homicidal? (5) violence-planning-preparing? (6) personal-grievance? (7) handgun-access? and (8) targeting-person(s)? In Study-2- 6-teen-shooters with 11-homicidal and 12-controls are contrasted with the Ask-Standard-Predictor [ASP] Violence-Potential, Youth-Version (54-questions, a=.61, p<.01, AUC=.91, p<.01, rtest-retest=.75, p<.01, F=123.09, p<.01, and the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory Adolescent Version [MMPI-A (468-questions)-], ANOVA-F=17.22, p<.01, Lie, F=33.91, Depression, F=26.18, p<.01, Psychopathic-Deviate, F=57.45, p<.01,Paranoia, F=23.92, p<.01, Schizophrenia, F=21.69, p<.01, MacAndrews Alcohol, F=16.84, p<.01, Addiction Admission, F= 38.88, p<.01, resulting in a “7-point-violence-profile,”found over 95 yrs. in 212-studies .(N=320,051). The expense side includes 2 examples. 1st, School-shooter insurance-industry higher-premiums from (1936-2019) resulted in [414-dead @ $3,834,988.08=$1,587,685,065.12] + [832-injured @ $33,773.52=$28,099,568.64]+[232-shooters@$3,834,988.08=$889,717,234.60]+[$2,505,501,868.32x1.3= $3,257,152,428.82] =a high cost of $5,762,654,297.14]. With no-computer-tests-equations from 2020-2106, ($5,762,654,297.14x2= [the expense will double to] $11,525,308,594.27, 828-dead, 1,664-injured. The 2nd violence example is the U.S-Catholic-Church-pedophilia-loss, (1936-2107) [payouts, $17,435,353,000] + [lost-donations =1.3 x payouts=] 22,665,958,900=$40,101,511,900(1986-2107), with 5,679 victims increasing (1936-2107) to 39,753-victims.
Date: 2022
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