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THE DETERMINANTS OF SYSTEMIC RISK: EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIAN COMMERCIAL BANKS

Mutiara Aini () and Deddy Priatmodjo Koesrindartoto ()
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Mutiara Aini: Institut Teknologi Bandung
Deddy Priatmodjo Koesrindartoto: Institut Teknologi Bandung

Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, 2020, vol. 23, issue 1, 101-120

Abstract: This paper examines the determinants of systemic risk across Indonesian commercial banks using quarterly data from 2001Q4 to 2017Q4. Employing four measures of systemic risk, namely value-at-risk (VaR), historical marginal expected shortfall (MESH), marginal expected shortfall from GARCH-DCC (MESdcc), and long-run marginal expected shortfall (LRMES), we find that bank size is positively related to systemic risk, whereas banks and economic loan activity are negatively related to systemic risk. These findings suggest that the government needs to regulate loan activities and to monitor big banks as they have significant impacts on bank systemic risk.

Keywords: Bank Fragility; Bank Performance; Financial Regulation; Systemic Risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G01 G21 G28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:idn:journl:v:23:y:2020:i:1e:p:101-120

DOI: 10.21098/bemp.v23i1.1084

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