Detecting labour submarkets from worker-mobility networks: a preliminary study

Agnes Norris Keiller ()
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Agnes Norris Keiller: Institute for Fiscal Studies and Institute for Fiscal Studies

No W20/30, IFS Working Papers from Institute for Fiscal Studies

Abstract: Despite widespread recognition that the aggregate labour market is composed of a number of heterogeneous submarkets, there is little guidance on how to appropriately delineate such submarkets when conducting economic research. This paper contributes to a small but growing body of work addressing this issue by exploring the potential for community detection algorithms to delineate labour submarkets using observed patterns of labour market mobility. Two alternative approaches to community detection – modularity maximisation and stochastic block model estimation – are compared from a theoretical perspective and implemented on network data formed by worker transitions observed in the UK between 2011 and 2019. The theoretical comparison shows the two approaches implement very di?erent de?nitions of labour submarkets, while the empirical application ?nds they also produce di?erent submarket partitions in practice. This highlights that future research using community detection methods to delineate labour submarkets should ideally implement both approaches and examine whether any subsequent results are robust to the choice between them. Additional analysis looks at how occupational skill requirements change following worker transitions and how they vary within labour submarkets. This provides preliminary evidence that di?erences in manual skill requirements are a greater impediment to occupational changes that are made involuntarily than di?erences in non-manual skill requirements.

Date: 2020-09-04
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